Oslo Stock Exchange All Share Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
16.46%
increased by 1.76%
1 Week
16.70%
increased by 2.00%
1 Month
17.50%
increased by 2.80%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to May 15, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 112% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0180 | 8.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2037 | 36.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9619 | 472.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0733 | -20.64*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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