Skip to main content
V-Lab

S&P MERVAL Argentina Total Return Index ARS EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

31.45%

decreased by 1.60%

1 Week

32.08%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Month

34.30%

increased by 1.25%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P MERVAL Argentina Total Return Index ARS EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0618
21.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2448
28.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9697
639.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0319
-4.63***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days