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V-Lab

Horizon Kinetics JPN QWN OPR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

18.66%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

18.67%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

18.73%

decreased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Horizon Kinetics JPN QWN OPR GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 13, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0171
1.61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9627
103.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0517
3.60***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days