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V-Lab

Horizon Kinetics JPN QWN OPR GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

19.96%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

19.95%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Month

19.94%

decreased by 0.29%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Horizon Kinetics JPN QWN OPR GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 13, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 66 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 66 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0161
1.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9633
108.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0525
3.92***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days