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V-Lab

Horizon Kinetics JPN QWN OPR Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

15.33%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

15.76%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Month

16.82%

increased by 0.94%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Horizon Kinetics JPN QWN OPR AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 13, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 110% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0963
4.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0635
4.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8292
31.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0698
2.42**

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days