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V-Lab

Horizon Kinetics JPN QWN OPR GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

20.97%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

20.92%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Month

20.74%

decreased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Horizon Kinetics JPN QWN OPR GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 13, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0436
4.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0381
5.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9342
85.52***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days