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V-Lab

Galileo Resources PLC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

774.13%

increased by 102.42%

1 Week

775.05%

increased by 103.34%

1 Month

778.70%

increased by 106.99%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Galileo Resources PLC GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Extended Optimization
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5,215.7396
14.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0664
130.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0005

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days