V-Lab
Galileo Resources PLC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
1,026.18%
decreased by 96.42%
1 Week
1,027.01%
decreased by 95.59%
1 Month
1,030.30%
decreased by 92.30%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 7,563.8710 | 14.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0660 | 129.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0003 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
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