V-Lab
Galileo Resources PLC MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
83.89%
decreased by 1.79%
1 Week
83.36%
decreased by 2.32%
1 Month
81.57%
decreased by 4.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6236 | 7.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0800 | 14.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8912 | 172.24*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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