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V-Lab

Galileo Resources PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

54.44%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

63.15%

increased by 8.30%

1 Month

72.68%

increased by 17.83%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Galileo Resources PLC GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 63% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
13.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2748
8.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5663
25.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1058
-2.28**

Persistence:

0.788

Half-life:

3 days