V-Lab
Galileo Resources PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
92.01%
increased by 18.11%
1 Week
87.31%
increased by 13.41%
1 Month
80.94%
increased by 7.04%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2011 to Jul 24, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 65% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 13.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2743 | 8.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5697 | 24.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1082 | -2.22** |
Persistence:
0.790
Half-life:
3 days
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