V-Lab
Galileo Resources PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
54.44%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
63.15%
increased by 8.30%
1 Month
72.68%
increased by 17.83%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:36 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 63% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 13.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2748 | 8.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5663 | 25.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1058 | -2.28** |
Persistence:
0.788
Half-life:
3 days
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