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V-Lab

Galileo Resources PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

92.01%

increased by 18.11%

1 Week

87.31%

increased by 13.41%

1 Month

80.94%

increased by 7.04%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Galileo Resources PLC GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2011 to Jul 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 65% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
13.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2743
8.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5697
24.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1082
-2.22**

Persistence:

0.790

Half-life:

3 days