V-Lab
Galileo Resources PLC GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
54.96%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Week
63.48%
increased by 7.69%
1 Month
72.89%
increased by 17.10%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 12.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2237 | 15.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5654 | 24.73*** |
Persistence:
0.789
Half-life:
3 days
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