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V-Lab

Galileo Resources PLC EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

67.69%

decreased by 2.98%

1 Week

70.61%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Month

79.05%

increased by 8.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Galileo Resources PLC EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 38% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2396
7.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1559
10.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9326
93.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0248
2.58***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days