V-Lab
Galileo Resources PLC EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
67.69%
decreased by 2.98%
1 Week
70.61%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Month
79.05%
increased by 8.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 38% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2396 | 7.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1559 | 10.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9326 | 93.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0248 | 2.58*** |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
Other Galileo Resources PLC Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on International Equities