V-Lab
Galileo Resources PLC Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
85.54%
decreased by 1.69%
1 Week
84.41%
decreased by 2.82%
1 Month
80.71%
decreased by 6.52%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 80% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7470 | 6.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0729 | 17.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8864 | 167.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1416 | -6.23*** |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0714 | 29.72*** |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
18 days
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