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V-Lab

Galileo Resources PLC AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

56.82%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

69.83%

increased by 13.01%

1 Month

77.41%

increased by 20.59%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Galileo Resources PLC AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -0.82) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.3680
25.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3714
19.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2492
13.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.8219
-4.25***

Persistence:

0.621

Half-life:

1 days