V-Lab
Galileo Resources PLC Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
87.88%
decreased by 2.28%
1 Week
86.62%
decreased by 3.54%
1 Month
82.54%
decreased by 7.62%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:36 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 76% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6961 | 9.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0978 | 14.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8858 | 158.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0421 | -4.13*** |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
18 days
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