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V-Lab

Galileo Resources PLC Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

71.29%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

82.46%

increased by 11.17%

1 Month

86.63%

increased by 15.34%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Galileo Resources PLC S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1356
2.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2918
5.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1479
2.02**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.3390
2.62***
γ2-1.7045
-2.24**
γ30.1841
0.32
γ4-0.2205
-0.49
γ51.7567
3.74***
γ6-2.7550
-5.33***
γ71.9770
3.51***
γ8-0.7811
-1.51
γ90.6831
1.33
γ10-0.7892
-1.70*

Persistence:

0.440

Half-life:

1 days