CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index

CBOE 1-Day Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 One-Year Volatility Index

CBOE Skew Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	36
αARCH	0.0359	3.37***
βGARCH	0.8204	23.70***
γleverage	0.0401	2.53**
λ₁tau intercept	0.0363	2.10**
λ₂forecast adj.	0.2829	2.86***
λ₃tau persistence	0.6759	5.91***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	36
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0359	3.37***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8204	23.70***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0401	2.53**
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0363	2.10**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.2829	2.86***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.6759	5.91***

V-Lab

Invesco DB Agriculture Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Invesco DB Agriculture Fund Analyses