Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

ICE Brent Crude Oil GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026

1 Day

68.13%

increased by 38.05%

1 Week

67.58%

increased by 37.50%

1 Month

65.49%

increased by 35.41%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 06:15 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/02/2024

to

11/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE Brent Crude Oil GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 30, 2007 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 55 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 55 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 55-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0785
4.23***
αARCH0.0675
3.06***
βGARCH0.8974
66.08***
γleverage0.0451
1.13

0.988

Persistence

55d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0785
4.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0675
3.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8974
66.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0451
1.13

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

55 days