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V-Lab

ICE Brent Crude Oil GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

46.08%

decreased by 2.28%

1 Week

45.94%

decreased by 2.42%

1 Month

45.42%

decreased by 2.94%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 05:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE Brent Crude Oil GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 30, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 66% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0794
16.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0685
12.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8963
259.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0454
4.45***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days