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V-Lab

NYMEX Palladium GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

48.56%

decreased by 3.05%

1 Week

47.93%

decreased by 3.68%

1 Month

45.98%

decreased by 5.63%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NYMEX Palladium GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 1998 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2668
11.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0966
8.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8566
163.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0101
0.58

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days