Skip to main content
V-Lab

NYMEX Palladium GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

44.79%

increased by 11.72%

1 Week

44.45%

increased by 11.38%

1 Month

43.39%

increased by 10.32%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NYMEX Palladium GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 1998 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2503
3.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0914
1.89*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8640
43.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0107
0.16

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days