S&P GSCI Cocoa Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 18th, 2026
1 Day
69.40%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
69.25%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Month
68.64%
decreased by 1.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 15, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0131 | 10.37 | |
| 0.0409 | 19.02 | |
| 0.9641 | 808.13 | |
| -0.0159 | -5.63 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 15, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 15, 2026
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