S&P GSCI Cocoa Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 12th, 2026
1 Day
70.71%
increased by 7.47%
1 Week
70.46%
increased by 7.22%
1 Month
69.49%
increased by 6.25%
Analysis last updated: Monday, May 11, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0080 | 10.16 | |
| 0.0801 | 30.54 | |
| 0.9961 | 2,509.10 | |
| 0.0171 | 8.35 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 8, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 8, 2026
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