S&P GSCI Cocoa Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 23rd, 2026
1 Day
57.80%
increased by 0.29%
1 Week
57.70%
increased by 0.19%
1 Month
57.32%
decreased by 0.19%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4900 | 5.48 | |
| 0.0301 | 46.06 | |
| 0.9975 | 2,462.85 | |
| 7.0611 | 7.01 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Commodities