S&P GSCI Cocoa Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, April 3rd, 2026
1 Day
50.64%
increased by 0.22%
1 Week
50.56%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
50.26%
decreased by 0.16%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.3930 | 5.42 | |
| 0.0302 | 45.50 | |
| 0.9973 | 2,282.20 | |
| 7.0537 | 6.81 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Mar 27, 2026
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