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V-Lab

RBOB Gasoline GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

49.99%

decreased by 1.60%

1 Week

49.82%

decreased by 1.77%

1 Month

49.20%

decreased by 2.39%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 04:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RBOB Gasoline GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.37 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.1200
5.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0631
36.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9880
424.41***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.3656
7.77***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days