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V-Lab

CME Feeder Cattle GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

19.33%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

19.27%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Month

19.07%

decreased by 0.65%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Feeder Cattle GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.21 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2258
3.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0587
21.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9827
196.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2053
14.12***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days