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CME Feeder Cattle GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

16.11%

increased by 2.23%

1 Week

16.17%

increased by 2.29%

1 Month

16.35%

increased by 2.47%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Feeder Cattle GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2001 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2228
0.88
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0586
5.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9825
48.47***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1976
3.51***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days