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V-Lab

CME Feeder Cattle GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

20.89%

increased by 4.54%

1 Week

20.84%

increased by 4.49%

1 Month

20.65%

increased by 4.30%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Feeder Cattle GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2001 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 75 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 397% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0119
2.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0091
1.70*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9636
191.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0361
2.23**

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

75 days