Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CME Feeder Cattle GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

16.78%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

16.79%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

16.84%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 02:05 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Feeder Cattle GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2001 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 78 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~78 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0108
4.51***
αARCH0.0273
6.14***
βGARCH0.9639
192.27***

0.991

Persistence

78d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0108
4.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0273
6.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9639
192.27***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

78 days