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V-Lab

CME Feeder Cattle EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

19.38%

increased by 0.05%

1 Week

19.44%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

19.64%

increased by 0.31%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 05:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Feeder Cattle EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0077
4.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0547
17.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9878
815.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0422
-13.74***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days