V-Lab
CME Feeder Cattle EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
19.38%
increased by 0.05%
1 Week
19.44%
increased by 0.11%
1 Month
19.64%
increased by 0.31%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 05:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0077 | 4.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0547 | 17.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9878 | 815.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0422 | -13.74*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
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