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V-Lab

CME Feeder Cattle MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

18.26%

increased by 0.32%

1 Week

18.30%

increased by 0.36%

1 Month

18.43%

increased by 0.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 02:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Feeder Cattle MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9758
261.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0248
9.94***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0605
0.36
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0413
0.39
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9059
3.66***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days