Skip to main content
V-Lab

CME Feeder Cattle MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

18.09%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

17.83%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Month

17.65%

decreased by 0.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 02:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Feeder Cattle MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 2001 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9758
259.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0248
9.90***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0605
0.36
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0414
0.39
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9057
3.64***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days