V-Lab
CME Feeder Cattle MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
19.04%
increased by 2.73%
1 Week
19.23%
increased by 2.92%
1 Month
19.93%
increased by 3.62%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 2001 to Aug 28, 2026Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9761 | 75.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0246 | 2.34** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0601 | 1.81* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0409 | 1.18 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9066 | 23.04*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
Other CME Feeder Cattle Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Commodities