CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	56
αARCH	0.1085	7.67***
βGARCH	0.8852	43.44***
γleverage	-0.0938	-6.30***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0227	1.74*
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0164	2.49**
λ₃tau persistence	0.9790	112.36***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	56
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1085	7.67***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8852	43.44***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0938	-6.30***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0227	1.74*
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0164	2.49**
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9790	112.36***

V-Lab

S&P GSCI Coffee Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other S&P GSCI Coffee Index Analyses