S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 13th, 2026
1 Day
19.73%
increased by 3.90%
1 Week
33.33%
increased by 17.50%
1 Month
67.31%
increased by 51.48%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 10, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 121 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.1589 | 10.15 | |
| 0.9481 | 8.23 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
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