S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 27th, 2026
1 Day
11.83%
increased by 0.49%
1 Week
19.94%
increased by 8.60%
1 Month
38.32%
increased by 26.98%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 24, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 121 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.3445 | 9.95 | |
| 0.7138 | 8.30 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 24, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 24, 2026
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