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V-Lab

CME Live Cattle AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

18.76%

decreased by 1.49%

1 Week

18.64%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Month

18.49%

decreased by 1.76%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 02:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Live Cattle AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 1, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2903
5.29***
αARCH0.1547
5.08***
βGARCH0.6295
11.76***
γleverage-0.0111
-0.07

0.784

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2903
5.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1547
5.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6295
11.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0111
-0.07

Persistence:

0.784

Half-life:

3 days