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V-Lab

CBOT Corn AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

26.77%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Week

26.89%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Month

27.33%

decreased by 0.41%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 05:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOT Corn AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 17, 2000 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 46-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0554
4.51***
αARCH0.0724
8.00***
βGARCH0.9126
89.49***
γleverage0.0865
0.53

0.985

Persistence

46d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0554
4.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0724
8.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9126
89.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0865
0.53

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days