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V-Lab

CBOT Corn MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

27.00%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

27.10%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

26.76%

decreased by 0.48%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 05:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOT Corn MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 17, 2000 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 115% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0476
12.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7478
49.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0548
7.81***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7333
0.49
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7723
0.48
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.823

Half-life:

4 days