S&P GSCI Softs Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 18th, 2026
1 Day
86.89%
increased by 30.70%
1 Week
88.73%
increased by 32.54%
1 Month
98.18%
increased by 41.99%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 15, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 1.2820 | 45.08 | |
| 0.1098 | 37.80 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 17, 1995 to May 15, 2026
Jan 17, 1995 to May 15, 2026
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