S&P GSCI Petroleum Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 18th, 2026
1 Day
55.57%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
54.84%
decreased by 1.60%
1 Month
52.50%
decreased by 3.94%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 15, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 126 | ||
| 0.0511 | 17.70 | |
| 0.9004 | 288.03 | |
| 0.0421 | 12.56 | |
| 0.0202 | 9.71 | |
| 0.0350 | 11.48 | |
| 0.9604 | 271.84 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 15, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 15, 2026
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