S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 8th, 2026
1 Day
8.24%
increased by 2.98%
1 Week
10.03%
increased by 4.77%
1 Month
18.94%
increased by 13.68%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 6, 2026 at 12:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.9141 | 33.28 | |
| 0.2580 | 26.56 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
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