S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 29th, 2026
1 Day
7.75%
decreased by 12.46%
1 Week
10.51%
decreased by 9.70%
1 Month
24.56%
increased by 4.35%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 12:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.9217 | 33.71 | |
| 0.2518 | 26.96 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 26, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 26, 2026
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