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V-Lab

NYMEX Platinum AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

39.72%

decreased by 1.05%

1 Week

39.62%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Month

39.24%

decreased by 1.53%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 04:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NYMEX Platinum AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 111 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: positive returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0204
10.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0518
18.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9420
310.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2400
-3.88***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

111 days