V-Lab
NYMEX Platinum AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
39.72%
decreased by 1.05%
1 Week
39.62%
decreased by 1.15%
1 Month
39.24%
decreased by 1.53%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 04:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 29, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 111 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: positive returns raise volatility more
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0204 | 10.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0518 | 18.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9420 | 310.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2400 | -3.88*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
111 days
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