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V-Lab

NYMEX Palladium AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

35.63%

decreased by 1.96%

1 Week

36.09%

decreased by 1.50%

1 Month

37.40%

decreased by 0.19%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 05:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NYMEX Palladium AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3147
10.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1143
22.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8366
133.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0942
0.96

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days