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NYMEX Palladium GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

32.11%

decreased by 1.40%

1 Week

32.81%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Month

34.87%

increased by 1.36%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 05:16 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NYMEX Palladium GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 1998 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2594
2.95***
αARCH0.0997
4.95***
βGARCH0.8597
41.97***

0.959

Persistence

17d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2594
2.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0997
4.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8597
41.97***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days