V-Lab
NYMEX Palladium GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
51.89%
decreased by 1.66%
1 Week
51.08%
decreased by 2.47%
1 Month
48.50%
decreased by 5.05%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 04:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 1998 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2619 | 2.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1011 | 5.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8583 | 41.48*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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