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V-Lab

CME Live Cattle GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

15.82%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

16.76%

increased by 0.94%

1 Month

17.86%

increased by 2.04%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 04:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Live Cattle GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 1, 2001 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2920
5.29***
αARCH0.1544
5.06***
βGARCH0.6279
11.65***

0.782

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2920
5.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1544
5.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6279
11.65***

Persistence:

0.782

Half-life:

3 days