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V-Lab

CME Live Cattle EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

20.16%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

20.21%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Month

20.40%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 02:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Live Cattle EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 1, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0106
2.24**
αARCH0.0626
2.89***
βGARCH0.9833
179.83***
γleverage-0.0170
-0.86

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0106
2.24**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0626
2.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9833
179.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0170
-0.86

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days