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V-Lab

CME Live Cattle GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

15.96%

increased by 0.67%

1 Week

16.86%

increased by 1.57%

1 Month

17.90%

increased by 2.61%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Live Cattle GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 1, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2943
21.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1501
10.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6246
46.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0127
0.71

Persistence:

0.781

Half-life:

3 days