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V-Lab

CME Live Cattle GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

15.66%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

16.67%

increased by 0.58%

1 Month

17.83%

increased by 1.74%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Live Cattle GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 1, 2001 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2937
5.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1502
2.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6249
11.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0118
0.17

Persistence:

0.781

Half-life:

3 days