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V-Lab

CME Live Cattle GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

18.24%

increased by 1.02%

1 Week

18.30%

increased by 1.08%

1 Month

18.38%

increased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 02:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Live Cattle GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 1, 2001 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2944
21.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1505
10.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6243
46.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0130
0.72

Persistence:

0.781

Half-life:

3 days