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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Biofuel Spot Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

16.19%

increased by 0.58%

1 Week

16.29%

increased by 0.68%

1 Month

16.64%

increased by 1.03%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of S&P GSCI Biofuel Spot Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0255
22.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0628
23.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9201
553.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0023
-0.47

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days