Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

17.31%

increased by 2.56%

1 Week

17.21%

increased by 2.46%

1 Month

16.86%

increased by 2.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 158% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 158% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0138
5.28***
αARCH0.0242
3.48***
βGARCH0.9393
155.78***
γleverage0.0382
2.45**

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0138
5.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0242
3.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9393
155.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0382
2.45**

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days