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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

16.48%

increased by 1.47%

1 Week

16.40%

increased by 1.39%

1 Month

16.14%

increased by 1.13%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 156% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0138
21.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0244
13.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9392
621.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0382
9.72***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days