Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

13.15%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

13.18%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

13.31%

decreased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:51 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 156% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 156% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0138
5.29***
αARCH0.0244
3.49***
βGARCH0.9392
155.58***
γleverage0.0380
2.43**

0.983

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0138
5.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0244
3.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9392
155.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0380
2.43**

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

39 days