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S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

13.74%

increased by 0.06%

1 Week

13.75%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

13.80%

increased by 0.12%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 156% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 156% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0138
5.28***
αARCH0.0244
3.49***
βGARCH0.9392
155.58***
γleverage0.0380
2.43**

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0138
5.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0244
3.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9392
155.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0380
2.43**

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days