V-Lab
S&P GSCI All Cattle Spot Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
17.78%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
17.72%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
17.51%
decreased by 0.54%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2002 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0125 | 4.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0132 | 2.04** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9451 | 154.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0570 | 3.82*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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