S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 5th, 2026
1 Day
41.28%
increased by 1.45%
1 Week
41.61%
increased by 1.78%
1 Month
42.81%
increased by 2.98%
Analysis last updated: Monday, May 4, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1175 | 20.37 | |
| 0.0923 | 26.77 | |
| 0.9168 | 551.98 | |
| -0.0370 | -7.50 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 7, 1994 to May 1, 2026
Jan 7, 1994 to May 1, 2026
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