CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index

CBOE 1-Day Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.4439	6.50***
αARCH	0.0841	8.98***
βGARCH	0.9003	95.84***

γ₁	0.0075	0.51
γ₂	-0.0168	-0.70
γ₃	0.0362	2.09**
γ₄	-0.0433	-3.80***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.4439	6.50***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0841	8.98***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9003	95.84***

γ₁	0.0075	0.51
γ₂	-0.0168	-0.70
γ₃	0.0362	2.09**
γ₄	-0.0433	-3.80***

V-Lab

Henry Hub Natural Gas Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Henry Hub Natural Gas Analyses