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V-Lab

LME/COMEX Aluminum Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, June 8th, 2026

1 Day

34.36%

decreased by 2.89%

1 Week

35.21%

decreased by 2.04%

1 Month

38.25%

increased by 1.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 6, 2026 at 04:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of LME/COMEX Aluminum S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω1.40632.45
α0.22493.30
β0.766213.05
γ1-0.5809-0.35
γ2-0.0982-0.04
γ30.05380.03
γ44.95972.38
γ5-14.8132-3.35
γ624.17302.53
γ7-20.7865-2.41
γ87.86372.55
γ9-0.7137-0.63
γ10-0.1754-0.23
Estimation Period:
May 6, 2014 to Jun 5, 2026