S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
49.34%
increased by 0.26%
1 Week
49.23%
increased by 0.15%
1 Month
48.83%
decreased by 0.25%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 12:42 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7592 | 3.77 | |
| 0.0844 | 8.55 | |
| 0.8986 | 93.00 | |
| 0.0068 | 0.75 | |
| -0.0202 | -1.66 | |
| 0.0255 | 3.94 | |
| -0.0173 | -3.81 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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