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V-Lab

NYMEX Platinum Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

40.50%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

40.39%

decreased by 1.22%

1 Month

39.99%

decreased by 1.62%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NYMEX Platinum S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 117 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1938
4.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0520
4.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9421
70.54***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0002
0.48

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

117 days