S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
46.41%
increased by 0.34%
1 Week
45.90%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
44.07%
decreased by 2.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 12:42 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9054 | 4.57 | |
| 0.0837 | 8.44 | |
| 0.8964 | 87.06 | |
| 0.0302 | 2.37 | |
| -0.0534 | -2.93 | |
| 0.0281 | 2.30 | |
| 0.0099 | 0.80 | |
| -0.0465 | -2.13 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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