CBOT Oats Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 8th, 2026
1 Day
33.58%
decreased by 1.05%
1 Week
33.47%
decreased by 1.16%
1 Month
33.42%
decreased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 6, 2026 at 04:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1994 | 6.88 | |
| 0.0847 | 3.14 | |
| 0.3524 | 1.15 | |
| -0.7329 | -7.70 | |
| 0.9546 | 6.91 | |
| -0.2947 | -4.32 | |
| 0.1060 | 1.96 | |
| -0.0435 | -0.69 | |
| -0.0177 | -0.29 | |
| 0.1035 | 1.60 | |
| -0.1569 | -2.07 | |
| 0.1237 | 1.46 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 14, 1999 to Jun 5, 2026
Sep 14, 1999 to Jun 5, 2026
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